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  • Summary Of Social Security Administration Projections Of The OASDI System
    ion Purposes of the projection system The primary purpose of the projection methodology is to provide ... are actuaries, demographers or economists, the primary audiences of these notes. In particular, recursive ...

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    • Authors: Edward Frees
    • Date: Jan 2000
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Social Insurance>Social Security
  • Bayesian Bivariate Graduation and Forecasting
    interpretation. Kimeldorf and Jones (1967), using a direct Bayesian argument, proposed using nonsingular ... two-directional smoothing technique based on a direct extension of Whittaker's objective function, ...

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    • Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller
    • Date: Mar 1979
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
    essentially the same. Also, in what follows we use direct Monte Carlo simulation as described in Appendix ... year is too cumbersome to derive. Hence we use direct simulation from the posterior distributions to ...

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    • Authors: Enrique de Alba
    • Date: Jan 2003
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting